Needs forecasting and organisational performance in procurement planning: a systematic literature review with implications for private universities in Uganda
Ndejje University Journal Of Interdisciplinary Studies,
Volume 2, Conference Papers
eISSN: 3079-7683
DOI: https://doi.org/10.64080/ndujis.2026.Cof.Pro.Oct009
1.Samuel Kiweewa, Ndejje University, kiweewasam@gmail.com, ORCID: 0009-0006-8127-6771
2.Nazarious Rukanyangira. Faculty of Business and Management, Ndejje University,
nrukanyangira@ndejjeuniversity.ac.ug, ORCID: 0000-0002-5882-9730
3.Henry Buwule Musoke, Faculty of Business and Management, Ndejje University,
hbuwule@gmail.com, ORCID: 0000-0003-4677-3474
Abstract
Needs forecasting is a critical element of procurement planning that helps organisations anticipate resource requirements, allocate budgets effectively, and improve overall performance. While procurement planning has been widely studied, limited evidence exists on how needs forecasting specifically influences organisational performance, particularly in private universities in developing countries. This systematic literature review examined the relationship between needs forecasting and organisational performance, with a focus on implications for private universities in Uganda. Following the PRISMA 2020 guidelines, 1,156 studies published between 2005 and 2025 were identified from Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar. After screening and quality appraisal using the CASP and JBI tools, 38 studies were included in the final review. The findings show that effective needs forecasting enhances procurement efficiency by improving resource allocation, planning accuracy, coordination, and timely procurement. It also contributes to better financial performance through reduced costs, improved budget utilisation, and lower levels of wastage. However, these benefits are often constrained by weak governance, limited technical capacity, fragmented planning, and inadequate information systems. Guided by the Resource-Based View, the review concludes that needs forecasting is a strategic organisational capability and recommends investing in digital procurement systems, staff capacity building, and integrated planning processes to improve organisational performance in private universities.


























